Daily catalysts and market outlook in one view
Updated daily before the NY session to keep your bias aligned with the macro tape.
What is inside
All key events for the day, mapped to FX impact and paired with the current market outlook.
Use this page as your pre-session briefing and align execution to the highest impact themes.
US-Iran peace accord formally signed in Geneva today, sealing Strait of Hormuz reopening and triggering the largest single-week oil decline since 2020 while Asia stocks record all-time highs.
Risk Environment
Global risk tone and liquidity conditions shaping the session.
Global Risk Tone
Risk-On
Liquidity Regime
Normal
Confidence: 80%
Today's Key Events
All scheduled and unscheduled catalysts from the daily macro update.
Market Snapshot
Cross-asset view of key markets shaping FX flows.
US Equities
S&P 500 ~7,420 | -1.21% Thursday close | Selling (Wed FOMC-driven; Friday futures pointing higher post-Iran signing)
Asian Markets
Nikkei 225 71,477 +2.0% record high | KOSPI 8,977 record | CSI 300 +2.4% | Dominant theme: Iran peace deal + AI chip rally
Bonds
US 10Y 4.46% | US 2Y ~4.05% | Steepening from FOMC hawkish dot plot revision; yields fell from May highs on oil collapse
Commodities
WTI $75.96 -1.08% | Brent $79.26 -0.36% | Oil down ~10% on week — Hormuz reopening; Copper $6.37 stable
US Dollar Index
DXY 100.04 | -0.12% | Slight pullback from post-FOMC 100.62 high; holding above 100 key level
Gold (XAU/USD)
XAU/USD $4,153.95 | -$55.20 session change | -1.31% | Key level to watch: $4,100 support / $4,300 resistance
Key Themes
Dominant market drivers affecting currency pairs today.