Daily catalysts and market outlook in one view
Updated daily before the NY session to keep your bias aligned with the macro tape.
What is inside
All key events for the day, mapped to FX impact and paired with the current market outlook.
Use this page as your pre-session briefing and align execution to the highest impact themes.
ECB decision day meets Iran ceasefire optimism: S&P 500 at new record highs, gold steady near $4,800, and dollar slides to 98.27 as markets price peak geopolitical risk behind them.
Risk Environment
Global risk tone and liquidity conditions shaping the session.
Global Risk Tone
Neutral
Liquidity Regime
Normal
Confidence: 72%
Today's Key Events
All scheduled and unscheduled catalysts from the daily macro update.
Market Snapshot
Cross-asset view of key markets shaping FX flows.
US Equities
S&P 500 7,041 | +0.3% | Record High (12th gain in 13 sessions)
Asian Markets
Nikkei 225 58,886 | -1.1% (profit-taking after record); Hang Seng +1.2%; ASX 200 +0.4% — dominant theme: ceasefire optimism with selective tech pullback in Japan
Bonds
US 10Y 4.31% | US 2Y ~3.95% | Modest bear-flattening; yields tick up on jobless claims beat and fading rate-cut expectations for 2026
Commodities
WTI $91.58 | Brent $95.65 | Volatile: down from $117 highs in mid-March; ceasefire talks and US inventory drawdown creating two-way risk
US Dollar Index
DXY 98.27 | -0.05% | Three-week lows; third consecutive weekly decline as safe-haven unwinds
Gold (XAU/USD)
XAU/USD $4,798 | +$7 session gain | +0.15% | Key level to watch: $4,850 resistance above; $4,740 support below; ~17% above March lows
Key Themes
Dominant market drivers affecting currency pairs today.